November 2, 2026 — Robot makers have missed 28 of the 138 dated public promises tracked by Robotics Progress, and delivered 11, as of November 2, 2026. The other 99 are still pending. Tesla has the most misses, 6 of its 10 tracked promises.
The promises are dated targets that makers or their leaders set in public: launches, deliveries, production numbers, and the cities where robotaxis will run. Each is listed with who made it, when, and what has happened since.
Tesla's six misses include useful Optimus humanoid robots working inside its own factories in 2025, about 10,000 Optimus robots built in 2025, unsupervised robotaxi rides before the end of 2025, and robotaxi access for half the US population by the end of 2025. No other maker has more than two misses on the tracker.
Among the 11 promises delivered: UBTech's target of 500 Walker S2 humanoid robots delivered in 2025, Aurora's driverless trucking service to El Paso and Phoenix by the end of 2025, CMR Surgical starting US sales of its Versius surgical robot in 2026, and Apptronik's new robot, Apollo 2, launched in 2026.
Most of the 99 pending promises fall due in 2026 and 2027: 44 carry a 2026 date and 23 a 2027 date.
See every promise, delivered, missed and pending, updated as new records come in.
“Robot makers announce dates all the time, and few people go back to check them. We keep every dated promise next to what actually happened, with the source, so readers can judge the next announcement for themselves.”
Yale Marc, Founder of Robotics Progress
How we measured it
A promise counts as missed when its target has passed and our sources show it didn't happen as promised, and as delivered when our sources show the target was met. Every promise and every outcome links to its dated source: regulators, company filings and reports, customers and news reports. Makers' own claims are labeled company-reported. Robotics Progress does not rate or recommend robots. Where our facts come from.
About Robotics Progress
Robotics Progress (roboticsprogress.com) tracks how far robots have really got, in plain English. It places each robot, from humanoids and robotaxis to surgical robots and robot vacuums, on a five-step ladder from demo to cleared or mass market, using dated public sources: regulators, filings, customers and news reports. It flags when only the maker vouches for a claim and when people help the robot remotely. It does not rate or recommend robots. Robotics Progress is published by Simplify Software.
Media contact
Send media questions through our contact page. A short description and how we handle releases are on the press page.